The average number of future people per person alive today ("descendants") may be as follows for an average lifespan of 75 years:
Option |
Min. |
Max. |
1 |
2E+03 |
2E+03 |
2 |
9E+03 |
3E+06 |
3 |
1E+08 |
1E+14 |
4 |
> 4E+28 |
> 3E+40 |
If there was a constant population from now until the death of the Sun, we would have 1E+08 descendants.
The model implies the following:
-
A factor of 5 improvement for sustainability over business-as-usual
-
A factor of 280 improvement due to impact protection
-
A factor of more than 54 thousand improvement over business-as-usual when settling the Solar System
-
A factor of 1 million improvement due to aggressively settling asteroids when settling the Solar System
-
A factor of more than 268 trillion improvement for settling the Universe over staying in the Solar System
Note:
Use of the term descendant is a bit loose when applied to space settlement. Strictly speaking, settlers of the Solar System and beyond would have highly restricted bloodlines back to Earth, since only a small number of people would be making up the core population of each world.
See also:
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